13th Nov 2008
Wireless Facilities Leads Nets Higher
WFII led internet.com's Internet Stock Index, the ISDEX, with a 51% gain in July, far outpacing the rest of the field. The runner up was Liberate Technologies, which scored a 21% gain last month on optimism that its cable TV software is gaining acceptance. All told, only six ISDEX stocks (out of 50) scored double-digit gains during July, a month in which the ISDEX lost 17%. The other four were: GoTo.com, up 18%; EarthLink, up 12%; and Hotel Reservations Network and Broadcom, both up 11%.
As we mentioned three weeks ago, WFII at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 seemed substantially undervalued compared to other technology stocks. The stock is up 57% since then, closing yesterday at $9.39 a share. It still looks cheaper than the average tech stock, but two words of caution are in order. First, the company broke out of a large symmetrical triangle at $7 on Monday (see chart below), which gives the stock upside potential to $10 - it's getting close to that level, and may need to consolidate before further gains. The $7 level should now be support. And second, the company reports earnings next Wednesday, so investors will get a closer look at the company's finances then.
On the downside, Art Technology lost 53% in July on an earnings warning; Excite@Home lost 46% on a disappointing outlook; and i2 lost 44% after breaking down on concern about layoffs and slowing sales. ITWO broke down out of a head-and-shoulders top in June that projected minimum downside to $12 (see chart below).
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